February 2006

Compiled and written by
Gary Will

Issue 108 -- March 6, 2006
In this digest:

  1. Sandvine plans to go public through UK market
  2. RIM settles NTP suit for US$612M
  3. RDM sales up 15% from last year

  4. Descartes completes first profitable year, will raise $15M
  5. MKS sales jump with big licensing deal
  6. STOCK REPORT: RDM shares soar to highest level in years

  7. Miscellaneous tidbits from Sonami, Ladybug, Alt, LiveHive, IRAP, Kaleidescape, Dalsa, ARISE, SlipStream, Virtek, Ansys, TurboSonic, UW, GUARD


Sandvine plans to go public through UK market
February 18, 2006

Sandvine is planning an IPO as early as this month with a listing on AIM (Alternative Investment Market), the junior market of the London Stock Exchange. It hopes to raise about US$40 million through an offering that could see the company valued as high as US$174 million. Sandvine lost $3 million on sales of $15.8 million in the year ended November 30.

The news was first reported in a National Post story by Mark Evans and Boyd Erman.

AIM is becoming popular in Canada and the U.S., particularly among companies that want to avoid the burdens imposed by the Sarbanes-Oxley disclosure legislation. Over 30 Canadian companies are already listed on AIM, about three-quarters of which are mining or oil & gas companies. The weaker disclosure rules and lower listing requirements have led to some worries that the wrong kinds of companies might be attracted to AIM (the ones you typically see on the OTCBB today).

The highest-profile supporter of AIM in the Canadian high-tech community has been Terry Matthews, who has taken three companies public through that route (although the best-known, Ottawa's March Networks, did a dual listing on AIM and the TSX and the other two are based in the U.K. with offices in Ottawa). Some of Sandvine's founders have had a relationship with Matthews going back at least to 1997, when he selected Pixel Scientific as a Newbridge affiliate. Pixel was renamed PixStream shortly after, and Sandvine rose from PixStream's ashes in 2001. Matthews is the founder of Celtic House, an investor in Sandvine.

[Deloitte is hosting a free breakfast presentation on AIM at the end of the month. See the Communitech website for more information.]


RIM settles NTP suit for US$612M
March 3, 2006

Yes, RIM settled with NTP. Unlike the last time this was reported (see March 2005 digest), this time it's for real. The claims have been settled, the proceedings dismissed, and RIM has received a perpetual license for the NTP technologies.

NTP gets US$612.5 million, about CDN$700 million, equal to the combined market value of Dalsa, Descartes, Com Dev, and MKS. That's 36% more than RIM thought it would be paying last year, but less than some observers speculated RIM could have paid.

RIM still has about US$1.2 billion in cash after making the payment.

NTP filed the suit in 2001 and won the jury trial the following year. RIM lost its appeal at the end of 2004 and a settlement was pretty much inevitable from that point -- despite the bluster that was continually quoted in newspaper stories. RIM's last hope was to have the judge postpone making a decision on the appropriate penalty until after the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office completed its review of the NTP patents and all appeals coming out of that process. Once the judge made it clear that he had no intention of holding off any longer, RIM had little choice but to settle now.

The case has intensified demands for patent reform, but some of the proposed solutions would only make things worse. It's unlikely that there will ever be an acceptable definition of a patent troll, and if there was one it wouldn't include NTP, which was co-founded and co-owned by the inventor of its patents. I expect there will be a lot of talk and little action, especially now that there's a settlement and the case will no longer be in the news.

At the same time it announced the settlement, RIM warned that its Q4 numbers will be well below forecasts. Net BlackBerry subscriber additions are expected to be only around 625,000, well below the company's most recent forecast of 700,000-750,000, not to mention its original projection of 775,000-825,000. The uncertainty around the NTP litigation was obviously having a huge impact on customer decisions.

Sales in the current quarter may actually show a sequential decline, which has been a rarity for RIM in recent years. Q4 results will be released in April.


RDM sales up 15% from last year
February 10, 2006

RDM's digital imaging and electronic payments solutions businesses reported 32% annual growth in the quarter ended December 31 (Q1 06). Overall, the company just broke even, with a $10,000 loss on sales of $5.0 million. Sales were up 15% from last year, but down 20% from the previous quarter.

Transaction volumes through RDM's ITMS cheque electronification system grew 10% from Q4 to an average of 550,000 items per week. The company hopes to reach 2 million transactions per week by year-end.

Operations used $1.0 million in cash in the quarter and RDM ended Q1 with $4.4 million in cash.


Descartes completes first profitable year, will raise $15M
February 28, 2006

Descartes ended the first profitable year in its history as a public company with Q4 net income of US$966,000 (US$0.02/share) on sales of US$11.5 million. It was the seventh consecutive quarter that sales have fallen in the US$11-11.5 million range.

Revenue was up 4% from a year ago and flat from the previous quarter, although an improvement in margins led to a 5% sequential increase in gross profits.

Operations provided US$2.8 million in cash and Descartes ended the quarter with US$33.0 million in cash, up US$1.8 million from the end of Q3.

For the year, sales of US$45.7 million were down slightly from fiscal 2005, but earnings of US$3.0 million (US$0.07/share) were a huge turnaround from a loss of US$55.3 million in the previous year.

With its shares trading at their highest point in two years, Descartes is going to raise $14.9 million through the sale of 3.6 million shares at $4.15/share. The offering is being underwritten -- as usual -- by GMP, along with TD Securities and is expected to close later this month. Gross proceeds would climb to $17.2 million if the overallotment is taken in full.

[There was a long story in the National Post by Theresa Tedesco about the deterioration in the relationship between RIM and GMP -- which had counted RIM among its largest clients and for some reason not entirely explained in the story chose to advise NTP in its litigation against RIM. "For GMP, it has meant the end of a long and lucrative association," Tedesco wrote. "For RIM, 'it was the ultimate betrayal,' said a source who asked not to be named." Tedesco says RIM has refused to provide references for GMP, but it's unlikely GMP will ever have that problem with Descartes.]

The company also announced that it has hired Greg Cronin as its new EVP of business development and corporate strategy. From 2001 until last summer, he was the CEO of Colorado-based TrenStar, a mobile asset management company, which he guided from a start-up to over US$50 million in annual sales.


MKS sales jump with big licensing deal
March 1, 2006

As was pre-announced last month (see January digest), a US$2.2 million licensing deal led MKS to record-setting revenue in the period ended January 31 (Q3 06). The company earned US$1.6 million (US$0.03/share) on sales of US$13.4 million. Sales were up 16% from the previous quarter and 27% from last year.

Operations consumed US$0.4 million in cash, but MKS raised US$3.3 million through the conversion of warrants and options, with most of that coming through the warrants issued five years ago when the new management team was brought in. MKS ended the quarter with US$13.2 million in cash, up US$2.7 million from the end of Q2.

With one quarter remaining in its fiscal year, MKS did not revise its annual revenue forecast, which remains US$47-51 million. That would require Q4 sales of US$11-15 million, which is a pretty wide range.


STOCK REPORT: RDM shares soar to highest level in years
February 2006

RDM's quarterly results were solid, but hardly a breakthrough, but that didn't stop investors from taking the company's shares to their highest month-end price in five years, closing February at $1.47.

Over the first two months of 2006, RDM stock is up 65%.

For the month of February:

RDM [TSX: RC] +36%
MKS [TSX: MKX] +12%
ATS [TSX: ATA] +7%
Com Dev [TSX: CDV] +6%
Descartes [TSX: DSG] +5%
Open Text [TSX: OTC] +5%
RIM [TSX: RIM] +4%
Dalsa [TSX: DSA] 0%
===============================
--S&P TSX VENTURE INDEX -1%
--S&P TSX COMPOSITE INDEX -2%
Navtech [OTCBB: NAVH] -5%
Virtek [TSX: VRK] -7%
TurboSonic [OTCBB: TSTA] -10%
ARISE [TSXV: APV] -16%
Biorem [TSXV: BRM] -16%

Descartes shares closed the month above $4 for the first time since January 2004, and for only the third time in the last three years.

MKS stock had its highest month-end price since September 2000.

ATS has climbed back over the $1 billion mark in market value. Com Dev had squeaked back ahead of MKS in market value by Friday's close, although it's close enough to change with any trade.

Companies with core operations outside the area:

Agfa-Gevaert [Brussels: AGFA] +18%
Ansys [Nasdaq: ANSS] +8%
NCR [NYSE: NCR] +8%
LSI Logic [NYSE: LSI] +7%
McAfee [NYSE: MFE] +0%
Automated Benefits [TSXV: AUT] 0%
==================================
Senesco [Amex: SNT] -1%
Oracle [Nasdaq: ORCL] -1%
Sybase [NYSE: SY] -1%
SBS Technologies [Nasdaq: SBSE] -3%
Adobe [Nasdaq: ADBE] -3%
Google [Nasdaq: GOOG] -16%
AMIS [Nasdaq: AMIS] -17%
Blue Coat [Nasdaq: BCSI] -48%


Miscellaneous Tidbits